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5 of 5 matches with xG: 17 goals from 14.0 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes 1–3 Istra 1961 | 1.55–1.84 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Gorica | 1.95–1.95 | 40% · 21% · 40% | Close call, NK Slaven Belupo won |
| NK Osijek 3–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.78–0.86 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Varazdin | 0.36–0.92 | 14% · 38% · 48% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Rijeka 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 2.59–0.22 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Won against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.