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5 of 5 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.8 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 2–0 NK Varazdin | 1.46–0.87 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| Rudes 3–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.97–4.66 | 3% · 5% · 92% | Draw against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 92% |
| NK Slaven Belupo 2–3 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.07–2.02 | 19% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 HNK Gorica | 1.00–0.71 | 41% · 33% · 25% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Osijek 2–0 HNK Rijeka | 1.05–0.94 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.