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Most points above xPts: NK Osijek (+4.0 pts), HNK Hajduk Split (+3.9 pts), Dinamo Zagreb (+3.6 pts).
Most points below xPts: Rudes (−12.7 pts), NK Varazdin (−5.1 pts), NK Slaven Belupo (−2.1 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 20 | 42.1 | 19.3 | 41.4 | 45 | +3.6 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 2 | 22 | 37.5 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 42 | +4.0 |
| 3 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 20 | 34.2 | 18.0 | 37.1 | 41 | +3.9 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 24 | 24.9 | 25.0 | 31.6 | 33 | +1.4 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 4 | 18 | 31.3 | 21.3 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 6 | 21 | 27.4 | 29.2 | 27.2 | 28 | +0.8 |
| 7 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 21 | 26.2 | 34.2 | 24.1 | 19 | −5.1 |
| 8 | HNK Gorica | 7 | 22 | 24.3 | 39.9 | 22.1 | 24 | +1.9 |
| 9 | NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 20 | 22.7 | 35.2 | 20.1 | 18 | −2.1 |
| 10 | Rudes | 10 | 20 | 18.1 | 42.4 | 15.7 | 3 | −12.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.