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4 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 11.9 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Istra 1961 | 1.93–0.12 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 4–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3.10–0.78 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Osijek 1–2 Sibenik | 2.82–0.63 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Won against the xG: Sibenik |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.68–0.87 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.