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5 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 10.3 xG (1.45 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek 2–2 Sibenik | 0.47–2.53 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Draw against the xG: Sibenik had 82% |
| HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Varazdin | 0.56–1.03 | 20% · 34% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 Istra 1961 | 1.70–0.50 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 4–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.42–0.85 | 50% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| HNK Hajduk Split 0–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 0.70–0.58 | 34% · 40% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.