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5 of 5 matches with xG: 11 goals from 9.7 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Gorica | 1.33–0.52 | 57% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 57% |
| Istra 1961 2–1 NK Osijek | 1.69–0.17 | 76% · 20% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Slaven Belupo 2–1 HNK Rijeka | 0.81–1.45 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 Sibenik | 0.94–0.24 | 53% · 38% · 9% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Varazdin 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 0.82–1.72 | 18% · 24% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.