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4 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 9.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 3–2 Istra 1961 | 1.84–0.58 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for HNK Gorica |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Osijek | 1.94–0.52 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin | 1.46–0.43 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.01–0.23 | 80% · 16% · 3% | Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.