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Most points above xPts: HNK Gorica (+5.0 pts), NK Varazdin (+4.4 pts), Istra 1961 (+2.1 pts).
Most points below xPts: Dinamo Zagreb (−4.9 pts), NK Slaven Belupo (−3.8 pts), NK Osijek (−2.3 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 20 | 37.7 | 13.0 | 42.9 | 38 | −4.9 |
| 2 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 20 | 24.9 | 21.7 | 28.9 | 31 | +2.1 |
| 3 | HNK Hajduk Split | 4 | 18 | 23.0 | 18.4 | 28.2 | 27 | −1.2 |
| 4 | HNK Rijeka | 5 | 17 | 21.2 | 17.2 | 25.3 | 23 | −2.3 |
| 5 | NK Varazdin | 3 | 17 | 20.0 | 17.3 | 24.6 | 29 | +4.4 |
| 6 | Sibenik | 7 | 18 | 19.0 | 21.7 | 22.9 | 21 | −1.9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 21 | 21.2 | 38.0 | 20.1 | 19 | −1.1 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 10 | 16 | 16.0 | 22.1 | 17.8 | 14 | −3.8 |
| 9 | NK Osijek | 9 | 15 | 17.0 | 21.2 | 17.3 | 15 | −2.3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 6 | 16 | 14.2 | 23.5 | 16.0 | 21 | +5.0 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.