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Most points above xPts: Istra 1961 (+9.1 pts), Dinamo Zagreb (+8.4 pts), NK Varazdin (+1.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: NK Osijek (−10.6 pts), Vukovar (−7.0 pts), HNK Gorica (−2.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 27 | 58.5 | 19.6 | 58.6 | 67 | +8.4 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 27 | 56.4 | 29.5 | 51.9 | 51 | −0.9 |
| 3 | HNK Rijeka | 3 | 26 | 40.1 | 24.4 | 44.6 | 43 | −1.6 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 9 | 27 | 30.2 | 33.3 | 36.6 | 26 | −10.6 |
| 5 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 27 | 33.1 | 40.1 | 34.3 | 35 | +0.7 |
| 6 | HNK Gorica | 6 | 27 | 32.2 | 36.8 | 33.6 | 31 | −2.6 |
| 7 | NK Varazdin | 5 | 25 | 30.7 | 35.8 | 31.8 | 33 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 27 | 31.4 | 43.8 | 30.8 | 30 | −0.8 |
| 9 | Vukovar | 10 | 27 | 27.3 | 51.8 | 25.0 | 18 | −7.0 |
| 10 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 26 | 24.1 | 48.9 | 21.9 | 31 | +9.1 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.