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3 of 7 matches with xG: 11 goals from 10.1 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis 2–2 Pafos | 1.44–1.66 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Apollon Limassol 1–2 Omonia Nicosia | 2.55–1.54 | 60% · 18% · 22% | Won against the xG: Omonia Nicosia |
| Apoel Nicosia 2–2 AEK Larnaca | 1.29–1.61 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.