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5 of 7 matches with xG: 9 goals from 12.1 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca 1–0 Anorthosis | 1.24–0.98 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Win in line with xG for AEK Larnaca |
| Apollon Limassol 0–0 Ethnikos Achna | 0.99–0.52 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| AE Zakakiou 1–2 Karmiotissa | 0.76–3.14 | 6% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Karmiotissa |
| Doxa 0–1 Apoel Nicosia | 0.25–1.18 | 8% · 32% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Apoel Nicosia |
| Aris 4–0 AEL | 2.91–0.15 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Aris |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.