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2 of 7 matches with xG: 5 goals from 5.6 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol 0–1 Pafos | 0.14–0.63 | 7% · 50% · 42% | Close call, Pafos won |
| Apoel Nicosia 4–0 AEL | 4.01–0.85 | 90% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Apoel Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.