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2 of 7 matches with xG: 4 goals from 5.7 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos 0–1 Omonia Nicosia | 1.61–1.88 | 33% · 22% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Nicosia |
| Apoel Nicosia 1–2 Aris | 1.20–1.03 | 40% · 29% · 31% | Close call, Aris won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.