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3 of 7 matches with xG: 6 goals from 8.2 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEL 0–1 Apollon Limassol | 1.00–1.07 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Apollon Limassol |
| Anorthosis 0–2 Pafos | 1.05–2.80 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
| Apoel Nicosia 3–0 Karmiotissa | 2.14–0.18 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Apoel Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.