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2 of 7 matches with xG: 7 goals from 5.7 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca 0–2 Pafos | 1.45–1.39 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Close call, Pafos won |
| Nea Salamis 2–3 Omonia Nicosia | 0.72–2.13 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.