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Most points above xPts: Pafos (+6.8 pts), Enosis (+5.6 pts), Karmiotissa (+3.1 pts).
Most points below xPts: Ethnikos Achna (−4.6 pts), Omonia 29is Maiou (−3.1 pts), Apoel Nicosia (−2.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pafos | 1 | 16 | 28.3 | 14.7 | 30.2 | 37 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Apoel Nicosia | 2 | 15 | 30.2 | 13.3 | 29.8 | 27 | −2.8 |
| 3 | Anorthosis | 3 | 12 | 20.0 | 19.4 | 17.4 | 18 | +0.6 |
| 4 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 9 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 6 | 7.7 | 6.7 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| 6 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 11 | 7 | 8.6 | 13.8 | 7.1 | 4 | −3.1 |
| 7 | Nea Salamis | 10 | 5 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 5 | −2.0 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 4 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 5 | −1.8 |
| 9 | Enosis | 5 | 9 | 5.9 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 12 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Omonia Nicosia | 8 | 4 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 12 | 7 | 4.7 | 13.4 | 4.6 | 4 | −0.6 |
| 12 | Ethnikos Achna | 14 | 3 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 0 | −4.6 |
| 13 | Karmiotissa | 7 | 5 | 3.5 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| 14 | AEL | 13 | 4 | 4.1 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 3 | −0.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.