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5 of 7 matches with xG: 18 goals from 13.1 xG (1.37 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos 2–1 Aris | 1.03–0.78 | 41% · 32% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
| Omonia Aradippou 3–2 Ethnikos Achna | 1.94–1.15 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Aradippou |
| Enosis 2–3 Anorthosis | 0.89–1.50 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Anorthosis |
| Apollon Limassol 2–0 Omonia Nicosia | 0.40–2.19 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Won against the xG: Apollon Limassol |
| Apoel Nicosia 1–2 AEL | 2.07–1.20 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Won against the xG: AEL |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.