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7 of 7 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos 4–0 Akritas | 1.81–1.39 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
| Enosis 0–1 Krasava Ypsonas | 1.05–1.68 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Krasava Ypsonas |
| Olympiakos 0–3 Omonia Nicosia | 0.26–2.32 | 3% · 13% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Nicosia |
| AEK Larnaca 2–1 Ethnikos Achna | 3.32–0.92 | 83% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for AEK Larnaca |
| Apoel Nicosia 2–0 Aris | 0.94–1.89 | 18% · 22% · 60% | Won against the xG: Apoel Nicosia |
| Omonia Aradippou 1–3 AEL | 1.23–0.84 | 45% · 29% · 25% | Won against the xG: AEL |
| Apollon Limassol 0–0 Anorthosis | 0.65–0.59 | 31% · 41% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.