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4 of 7 matches with xG: 4 goals from 6.5 xG (0.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enosis 0–1 Akritas | 0.68–0.81 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Close call, Akritas won |
| Anorthosis 0–0 Olympiakos | 0.78–0.41 | 41% · 41% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Krasava Ypsonas 0–1 Apollon Limassol | 0.62–0.43 | 34% · 45% · 21% | Close call, Apollon Limassol won |
| Pafos 2–0 Apoel Nicosia | 1.73–1.05 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.