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3 of 7 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.2 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Omonia Aradippou | 1.21–0.90 | 43% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anorthosis 2–1 AEL | 1.34–0.94 | 46% · 28% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Anorthosis |
| Pafos 1–2 AEK Larnaca | 1.22–1.57 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for AEK Larnaca |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.