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6 of 7 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.8 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akritas 1–1 Aris | 0.82–1.04 | 28% · 32% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Omonia Nicosia 3–0 Enosis | 3.88–0.76 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Nicosia |
| AEK Larnaca 0–1 Apollon Limassol | 1.32–2.49 | 19% · 18% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Apollon Limassol |
| Olympiakos 0–0 Omonia Aradippou | 0.18–1.12 | 6% · 33% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Omonia Aradippou had 61% |
| Ethnikos Achna 3–2 Apoel Nicosia | 0.92–1.25 | 27% · 29% · 44% | Won against the xG: Ethnikos Achna |
| AEL 0–1 Pafos | 1.48–0.59 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Won against the xG: Pafos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.