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6 of 7 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.5 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Achna 0–1 Omonia Aradippou | 0.45–1.35 | 12% · 28% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Aradippou |
| AEL 2–3 Apoel Nicosia | 1.73–1.21 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Won against the xG: Apoel Nicosia |
| Anorthosis 3–0 Enosis | 3.73–0.75 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Anorthosis |
| Akritas 1–3 Krasava Ypsonas | 1.00–2.66 | 12% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Krasava Ypsonas |
| AEK Larnaca 1–1 Olympiakos | 1.38–1.01 | 45% · 27% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Aris 2–2 Pafos | 0.76–3.49 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Draw against the xG: Pafos had 87% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.