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5 of 7 matches with xG: 17 goals from 13.4 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEL 1–2 Omonia Aradippou | 1.72–1.22 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Won against the xG: Omonia Aradippou |
| Akritas 0–4 Pafos | 0.59–1.70 | 12% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Pafos |
| Anorthosis 1–1 Apollon Limassol | 1.27–1.55 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Aris 1–2 Apoel Nicosia | 1.92–1.02 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Won against the xG: Apoel Nicosia |
| Omonia Nicosia 5–0 Olympiakos | 1.87–0.51 | 70% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Omonia Nicosia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.