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Most points above xPts: Zlin (+4.2 pts), FK Jablonec (+1.4 pts), Hradec Králové (+1.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: Zbrojovka Brno (−3.9 pts), Pardubice (−2.7 pts), Slovan Liberec (−1.7 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 5 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| 2 | Slavia Praha | 2 | 4 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 4 | 4 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 7.7 | 6 | −1.7 |
| 4 | Pardubice | 10 | 3 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 5 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 3 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 1 | −3.9 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava | 8 | 2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 3 | −1.0 |
| 7 | Zlin | 3 | 4 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Plzen | 5 | 3 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 7 | 3 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 10 | FK Jablonec | 6 | 3 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1 | −1.1 |
| 12 | Sigma Olomouc | 15 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0 | −1.5 |
| 13 | České Budějovice | 11 | 2 | 1.8 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 14 | Slovácko | 12 | 3 | 2.1 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 15 | Teplice | 9 | 1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 16 | Bohemians 1905 | 16 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0 | −0.6 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.