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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 20.4 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc 0–0 Hradec Králové | 0.94–1.69 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Hradec Králové had 55% |
| Mlada Boleslav 1–3 Baník Ostrava | 0.69–1.62 | 16% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Baník Ostrava |
| FK Jablonec 5–2 České Budějovice | 3.94–0.49 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
| Pardubice 1–1 Teplice | 0.92–0.85 | 35% · 33% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bohemians 1905 0–2 Plzen | 0.68–0.80 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Close call, Plzen won |
| Zlin 2–1 Slovácko | 1.56–0.33 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Zlin |
| Karviná 0–3 Slavia Praha | 0.25–2.40 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Sparta Praha 2–1 Slovan Liberec | 2.12–1.17 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.