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4 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 15.1 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec 1–2 Plzen | 0.52–2.05 | 8% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
| Pardubice 0–1 Baník Ostrava | 1.33–2.36 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Baník Ostrava |
| Slavia Praha 3–0 Slovan Liberec | 3.23–1.87 | 65% · 15% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Sparta Praha 2–1 Hradec Králové | 1.73–1.97 | 34% · 21% · 44% | Close call, Sparta Praha won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.