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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 16.4 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec 2–3 Karviná | 1.62–0.95 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Karviná |
| Baník Ostrava 1–0 Bohemians 1905 | 0.96–0.40 | 48% · 37% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Baník Ostrava |
| Sigma Olomouc 3–0 České Budějovice | 1.98–0.51 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sigma Olomouc |
| Slavia Praha 2–0 Slovácko | 1.27–0.05 | 70% · 28% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Teplice 1–0 Hradec Králové | 1.52–0.38 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Teplice |
| Mlada Boleslav 0–1 FK Jablonec | 0.63–1.20 | 19% · 31% · 50% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
| Pardubice 1–2 Sparta Praha | 0.81–0.81 | 32% · 35% · 32% | Close call, Sparta Praha won |
| Plzen 4–2 Dukla Praha | 2.22–1.14 | 62% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.