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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha 1–3 Teplice | 0.12–1.23 | 4% · 30% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Teplice |
| Pardubice 2–1 Karviná | 1.75–1.82 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Close call, Pardubice won |
| Mlada Boleslav 0–0 Slovácko | 0.95–0.36 | 49% · 37% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slovan Liberec 0–0 Bohemians 1905 | 1.04–0.73 | 42% · 33% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zlin 1–1 Baník Ostrava | 2.35–0.49 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Zlin had 79% |
| Plzen 3–3 Hradec Králové | 3.91–0.78 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Plzen had 90% |
| Sigma Olomouc 2–0 FK Jablonec | 0.44–0.49 | 24% · 48% · 28% | Close call, Sigma Olomouc won |
| Sparta Praha 1–1 Slavia Praha | 1.26–0.72 | 49% · 29% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.