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8 of 8 matches with xG: 31 goals from 21.7 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha 2–2 Sigma Olomouc | 1.56–0.73 | 57% · 25% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Dukla Praha had 57% |
| Pardubice 0–4 Slovan Liberec | 0.11–1.35 | 3% · 27% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Sparta Praha | 1.08–2.03 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
| Teplice 1–0 Baník Ostrava | 1.34–0.63 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Teplice |
| Slavia Praha 3–1 Bohemians 1905 | 1.18–1.21 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Close call, Slavia Praha won |
| Karviná 4–3 Hradec Králové | 2.37–2.04 | 46% · 19% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Karviná |
| FK Jablonec 3–3 Plzen | 1.40–2.04 | 26% · 21% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Plzen had 52% |
| Slovácko 2–0 Zlin | 1.26–1.35 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Close call, Slovácko won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.