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8 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 20.1 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice 1–2 Slavia Praha | 1.34–3.05 | 14% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Dukla Praha 1–1 Slovan Liberec | 1.30–0.82 | 48% · 29% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mlada Boleslav 3–1 Zlin | 1.34–1.72 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Won against the xG: Mlada Boleslav |
| Slovácko 3–0 Plzen | 1.39–0.92 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Slovácko |
| Sigma Olomouc 0–1 Sparta Praha | 1.12–0.78 | 43% · 31% · 25% | Won against the xG: Sparta Praha |
| FK Jablonec 1–0 Bohemians 1905 | 0.86–0.92 | 32% · 33% · 35% | Close call, FK Jablonec won |
| Karviná 0–0 Baník Ostrava | 1.38–0.79 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Karviná had 51% |
| Pardubice 1–0 Hradec Králové | 1.62–0.80 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Pardubice |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.