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8 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 17.4 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha 0–0 Zlin | 0.67–1.30 | 19% · 29% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Zlin had 52% |
| Karviná 1–3 Slavia Praha | 1.06–1.78 | 22% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Slovácko 1–2 Bohemians 1905 | 0.45–1.83 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians 1905 |
| Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Plzen | 0.56–1.01 | 20% · 34% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Plzen |
| Pardubice 0–2 FK Jablonec | 1.11–0.97 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Close call, FK Jablonec won |
| Slovan Liberec 1–0 Baník Ostrava | 1.35–0.97 | 46% · 28% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Mlada Boleslav 0–0 Teplice | 0.37–0.84 | 15% · 40% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sparta Praha 2–0 Hradec Králové | 2.42–0.66 | 76% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.