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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.9 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha 0–2 Slavia Praha | 0.57–1.80 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Pardubice 1–1 Teplice | 2.09–2.02 | 41% · 20% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slovan Liberec 0–1 Hradec Králové | 0.37–0.43 | 22% · 52% · 26% | Close call, Hradec Králové won |
| Mlada Boleslav 3–0 FK Jablonec | 1.29–1.02 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Mlada Boleslav |
| Sparta Praha 5–2 Baník Ostrava | 4.14–0.27 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
| Karviná 0–2 Slovácko | 1.07–1.60 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Slovácko |
| Zlin 3–0 Plzen | 1.56–1.01 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Zlin |
| Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Bohemians 1905 | 0.46–2.16 | 7% · 17% · 77% | Won against the xG: Sigma Olomouc |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.