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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 21.8 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 Slovan Liberec | 0.68–2.50 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Teplice 5–5 Plzen | 1.47–2.49 | 22% · 19% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Plzen had 60% |
| Zlin 0–2 Bohemians 1905 | 0.84–1.94 | 16% · 21% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians 1905 |
| Mlada Boleslav 2–0 Sparta Praha | 1.49–0.74 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Mlada Boleslav |
| Slavia Praha 2–1 Pardubice | 2.77–0.56 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
| Hradec Králové 2–1 Baník Ostrava | 2.38–0.80 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Hradec Králové |
| FK Jablonec 1–0 Slovácko | 0.36–0.58 | 19% · 48% · 34% | Won against the xG: FK Jablonec |
| Artis 1–2 Sigma Olomouc | 1.40–0.83 | 50% · 27% · 22% | Won against the xG: Sigma Olomouc |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.