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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 20.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Artis 0–4 Sparta Praha | 1.21–1.78 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
| Mlada Boleslav 2–1 Slovácko | 1.16–2.18 | 19% · 20% · 61% | Won against the xG: Mlada Boleslav |
| Zlin 0–1 Slovan Liberec | 0.38–1.15 | 12% · 32% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Slovan Liberec |
| Slavia Praha 2–2 Bohemians 1905 | 2.74–0.81 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Slavia Praha had 78% |
| Teplice 0–2 Zbrojovka Brno | 0.82–0.69 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Close call, Zbrojovka Brno won |
| Sigma Olomouc 3–1 Pardubice | 1.48–1.15 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sigma Olomouc |
| FK Jablonec 3–0 Baník Ostrava | 2.87–0.85 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FK Jablonec |
| Hradec Králové 0–0 Plzen | 0.92–0.21 | 53% · 39% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Hradec Králové had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.