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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.1 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905 | 0.94–1.05 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Close call, Pardubice won |
| Artis 0–0 Slovan Liberec | 0.66–0.46 | 35% · 43% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mlada Boleslav 2–0 Zbrojovka Brno | 1.03–2.49 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Won against the xG: Mlada Boleslav |
| Slovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava | 1.77–2.72 | 24% · 18% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Baník Ostrava had 58% |
| FK Jablonec 1–1 Zlin | 1.16–0.39 | 56% · 32% · 12% | Draw against the xG: FK Jablonec had 56% |
| Sigma Olomouc 0–3 Sparta Praha | 0.86–1.88 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Praha |
| Slavia Praha 2–1 Plzen | 1.88–0.82 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Praha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.