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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 14.8 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus 4–0 Sonderjyske | 1.45–0.52 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Aarhus |
| FC Midtjylland 2–0 Aalborg | 1.89–0.60 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for FC Midtjylland |
| Silkeborg 3–2 Viborg | 1.49–1.26 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Silkeborg |
| FC Copenhagen 1–1 Randers FC | 1.78–0.83 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Draw against the xG: FC Copenhagen had 60% |
| Lyngby 0–2 Brondby | 1.35–1.29 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Close call, Brondby won |
| Vejle 0–1 FC Nordsjaelland | 0.71–1.68 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for FC Nordsjaelland |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.