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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC 1–3 Macara | 1.59–1.19 | 47% · 25% · 29% | Won against the xG: Macara |
| El Nacional 0–5 Mushuc Runa SC | 0.33–1.62 | 7% · 23% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Mushuc Runa SC |
| Barcelona SC 1–1 Aucas | 1.20–0.89 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Orense SC 0–0 Emelec | 1.61–0.32 | 70% · 23% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Orense SC had 70% |
| Tecnico Universitario 1–3 LDU de Quito | 1.38–1.16 | 42% · 27% · 32% | Close call, LDU de Quito won |
| Libertad 1–0 Cuniburo | 1.43–0.79 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Libertad |
| Independiente del Valle 0–0 Delfin SC | 1.39–0.43 | 61% · 27% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Independiente del Valle had 61% |
| Universidad Catolica 2–1 Deportivo Cuenca | 2.90–0.93 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Universidad Catolica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.