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6 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 14.5 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Emelec | 0.96–1.36 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Emelec |
| Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle | 0.37–0.59 | 19% · 47% · 34% | Close call, Independiente del Valle won |
| Deportivo Cuenca 1–3 Orense SC | 1.97–2.17 | 36% · 20% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Orense SC |
| Barcelona SC 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC | 1.07–0.52 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona SC |
| LDU de Quito 0–0 Aucas | 0.27–1.59 | 6% · 23% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Aucas had 71% |
| Universidad Catolica 4–0 Macara | 3.27–0.40 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Universidad Catolica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.