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8 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 18.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC 2–0 Leones del Norte | 3.68–0.37 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Orense SC |
| Tecnico Universitario 4–0 Delfin SC | 1.50–0.67 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Tecnico Universitario |
| Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca | 0.72–0.67 | 32% · 38% · 29% | Close call, Deportivo Cuenca won |
| Aucas 2–1 Universidad Catolica | 1.02–0.31 | 53% · 35% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Aucas |
| Independiente del Valle 1–0 Barcelona SC | 1.32–0.42 | 60% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Emelec 1–1 Libertad | 2.87–1.08 | 74% · 14% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Emelec had 74% |
| Manta FC 0–1 Macara | 0.73–0.64 | 33% · 39% · 28% | Close call, Macara won |
| Mushuc Runa SC 1–3 LDU de Quito | 1.02–1.16 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for LDU de Quito |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.