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5 of 8 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.4 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Orense SC | 1.18–0.74 | 46% · 31% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Leones del Norte 1–1 Libertad | 1.39–0.73 | 53% · 28% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Leones del Norte had 53% |
| LDU de Quito 0–2 Macara | 1.07–1.42 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Macara |
| Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Universidad Catolica | 1.11–0.25 | 58% · 33% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Mushuc Runa SC had 58% |
| Manta FC 0–2 Independiente del Valle | 0.97–1.56 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.