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4 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 9.8 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario 1–3 LDU de Quito | 0.45–1.72 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for LDU de Quito |
| Independiente del Valle 3–1 Macara | 1.80–1.43 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| Aucas 1–1 Barcelona SC | 1.62–1.01 | 52% · 25% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Aucas had 52% |
| Emelec 1–0 Manta FC | 1.26–0.49 | 56% · 30% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Emelec |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.