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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 23.1 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC 0–2 Smouha SC | 0.43–0.82 | 18% · 40% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Smouha SC |
| AL Masry 1–1 Abu Qair Semad | 1.82–0.70 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Draw against the xG: AL Masry had 64% |
| Enppi 0–3 El Mokawloon | 1.31–0.85 | 47% · 28% · 24% | Won against the xG: El Mokawloon |
| Asyut Petrol 0–1 Zamalek SC | 1.01–1.36 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Zamalek SC |
| Masr 3–2 Future FC | 1.00–1.06 | 33% · 30% · 36% | Close call, Masr won |
| Wadi Degla 1–1 National Bank of Egypt | 0.57–2.00 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: National Bank of Egypt had 71% |
| El Geish 1–4 Pyramids FC | 1.25–2.47 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Pyramids FC |
| Ghazl El Mehalla 2–1 Al Ittihad | 1.26–0.96 | 43% · 29% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Ghazl El Mehalla |
| Al Ahly 3–3 Olympic El Qanah | 1.00–0.44 | 49% · 35% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 Petrojet | 2.10–0.70 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Ceramica Cleopatra |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.