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7 of 7 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.6 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur W 1–2 Arsenal W | 0.38–2.30 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal W |
| Brighton W 3–0 West Ham W | 2.06–1.26 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Brighton W |
| Crystal Palace W 1–3 Chelsea W | 1.32–3.72 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea W |
| Birmingham City W 1–0 Charlton Athletic W | 2.30–0.41 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Birmingham City W |
| Everton W 2–3 Aston Villa W | 0.92–2.29 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa W |
| Liverpool W 2–2 London City Lionesses W | 1.72–2.19 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester United W 1–1 Manchester City W | 1.08–1.67 | 25% · 24% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City W had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.