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7 of 7 matches with xG: 24 goals from 19.1 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea W 1–1 Everton W | 2.18–0.45 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea W had 78% |
| Manchester City W 5–0 West Ham W | 2.14–1.02 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City W |
| Liverpool W 1–2 Arsenal W | 1.43–2.05 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal W |
| Aston Villa W 0–1 Manchester United W | 0.43–2.00 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United W |
| Crystal Palace W 3–2 Charlton Athletic W | 1.82–2.03 | 35% · 21% · 44% | Close call, Crystal Palace W won |
| Tottenham Hotspur W 2–1 Brighton W | 1.31–0.49 | 57% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham Hotspur W |
| London City Lionesses W 4–1 Birmingham City W | 1.52–0.19 | 72% · 24% · 4% | Win in line with xG for London City Lionesses W |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.