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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 36.2 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 2–1 Everton | 3.01–0.61 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 2–4 Newcastle | 1.13–3.43 | 8% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Brighton 0–2 Manchester United | 1.88–1.29 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Burnley 1–2 Nottingham Forest | 1.21–1.78 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth | 1.14–2.22 | 19% · 20% · 62% | Won against the xG: Chelsea |
| Crystal Palace 5–0 Aston Villa | 2.54–1.02 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Liverpool 2–0 Wolves | 4.74–0.50 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Luton 2–4 Fulham | 2.10–1.09 | 61% · 21% · 19% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Manchester City 3–1 West Ham | 2.04–0.36 | 77% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Sheffield Utd 0–3 Tottenham | 0.98–3.16 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.