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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 33.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 3–1 Coventry | 1.46–1.23 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Leeds 1–0 Tottenham | 2.05–0.80 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Arsenal 1–0 Hull City | 1.30–0.38 | 60% · 29% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Fulham 1–1 Newcastle | 0.78–1.19 | 24% · 30% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nottingham Forest 3–1 Manchester City | 1.10–1.78 | 23% · 23% · 53% | Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest |
| Brighton 2–0 Brentford | 2.24–0.75 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Crystal Palace 1–3 Liverpool | 2.47–2.71 | 37% · 18% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Ipswich 1–2 Bournemouth | 1.32–2.18 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Sunderland 1–0 Chelsea | 2.58–0.55 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sunderland |
| Manchester United 4–4 Aston Villa | 3.63–2.94 | 53% · 15% · 32% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.