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6 of 6 matches with xG: 11 goals from 17.9 xG (0.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu 2–2 KuPS | 0.36–0.93 | 14% · 38% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| SJK 1–1 Ilves | 0.61–1.40 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Ilves had 56% |
| VPS 0–2 HJK Helsinki | 2.07–2.30 | 36% · 20% · 44% | Win in line with xG for HJK Helsinki |
| FF Jaro 1–1 Mariehamn | 2.43–2.05 | 47% · 19% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Haka 0–1 Inter Turku | 1.21–2.26 | 19% · 20% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Inter Turku |
| Kooteepee 0–0 Gnistan | 1.17–1.11 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.