Veikkausliiga 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 18

Matchday 18 in xG

4 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: VPS 1–1 Mariehamn (xG 1.41–0.54). Draw against the xG: VPS had 59% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: AC Oulu 0–1 FF Jaro (xG 2.73–1.53). The winner had 20% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: HJK Helsinki 1–4 Inter Turku (xG 1.55–1.57). The winner had 39% on xG.
• Most xG: AC Oulu 0–1 FF Jaro (xG 2.73–1.53). 4.26 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: AC Oulu 0–1 FF Jaro (xG 2.73–1.53). An xG gap of 1.20.
• Most goals above xG: Inter Turku, +2.43 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: AC Oulu, -2.73 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 17 · Matchday 19