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4 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 15.3 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves 1–0 Turku PS | 1.56–0.95 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Ilves |
| FF Jaro 2–5 HJK Helsinki | 1.58–1.99 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for HJK Helsinki |
| VPS 1–1 KuPS | 1.99–2.30 | 34% · 20% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lahti 2–3 SJK | 2.40–2.52 | 39% · 18% · 43% | Win in line with xG for SJK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.