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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 14.8 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan 0–3 HJK Helsinki | 0.53–1.01 | 19% · 35% · 46% | Win in line with xG for HJK Helsinki |
| FF Jaro 1–1 KuPS | 1.16–0.78 | 45% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Oulu 1–0 VPS | 0.83–0.94 | 30% · 33% · 36% | Close call, AC Oulu won |
| Lahti 0–2 Inter Turku | 1.01–1.86 | 20% · 23% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Inter Turku |
| Turku PS 2–0 SJK | 2.31–1.00 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Turku PS |
| Mariehamn 2–2 Ilves | 2.30–1.06 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Mariehamn had 65% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.